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Valparaiso Vs Northern Iowa MVC Tournament Odds, Tips And Betting Trends - March 7

Tune in to see the No. 3 seed Northern Iowa Panthers (20-11, 14-6 MVC) face off the No. 11 seed Valparaiso Beacons (14-18, 6-14 MVC) in the MVC Tournament Friday at Enterprise Center, beginning at 9:30 p.M. ET on ESPN+.

The Panthers hit the court as 8.5-point favorites against the Beacons. The over/under for the matchup is set at 138.5.

Northern Iowa's record against the spread this season is 19-11-0, while Valparaiso's is 15-14-1. In terms of going over the point total, games involving the Panthers are 12-18-0 and the Beacons are 17-13-0. The teams score 149.2 points per game, 10.7 more points than this matchup's total. In the last 10 contests, Northern Iowa is 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall while Valparaiso has gone 5-5 against the spread and 4-6 overall.

Prepare for this matchup with what you need to know about Friday's college hoops action.

Check out: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll

How to watch Northern Iowa vs. Valparaiso
  • Game day: Friday, March 7, 2025
  • Game time: 9:30 p.M. ET
  • TV Channel: Chicago Sports Network
    • Watch NCAA basketball on Fubo! Valparaiso at Northern Iowa odds, spread and lines

    College basketball odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Friday at 9:10 p.M. ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

  • Spread: Northern Iowa -8.5
  • Total: 138.5
  • Moneyline: Northern Iowa -450, Valparaiso +345
    • Northern Iowa vs. Valparaiso prediction

    Northern Iowa 77, Valparaiso 68

    Moneyline Northern Iowa
  • Northern Iowa is 17-5 in games when it was listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 77.3%).
  • The Panthers have played seven times as a moneyline favorite with odds of -450 or shorter, and won in each game.
  • The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives Northern Iowa an 81.8% chance to win.
    • Valparaiso
  • This season, Valparaiso has been the underdog 22 times and won seven, or 31.8%, of those games.
  • The Beacons have been at least a +345 moneyline underdog six times this season, but was upset in each of those games.
  • Valparaiso has a 22.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
    • Against the spread
  • Northern Iowa has covered 19 times in 30 chances against the spread this season.
  • Valparaiso has won 15 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover or pushing 15 times.
  • The Panthers record only 0.5 fewer points per game (73.9) than the Beacons allow (74.4).
  • Northern Iowa has a 13-0 record against the spread and a 14-0 record overall when scoring more than 74.4 points.
  • Valparaiso is 6-2-1 against the spread and 8-3 overall when allowing fewer than 73.9 points.
  • The Beacons' 75.3 points per game are 8.0 more points than the 67.3 the Panthers allow.
  • When it scores more than 67.3 points, Valparaiso is 13-7 against the spread and 12-10 overall.
  • Northern Iowa has an ATS record of 16-8 and an 18-7 record overall when its opponents score fewer than 75.3 points.
    • Over/Under
  • The Panthers' average implied point total this season is 0.2 more points than their implied total in Friday's game (74.2 implied points on average compared to 74 implied points in this game).
  • So far this season, Northern Iowa has outscored its implied point total for this matchup (74) 16 times.
  • The 76.9-point average implied total on the season for the Beacons is 11.9 more points than the team's 65-point implied total in this matchup.
  • This season, Valparaiso has put up more than 65 points in a game 24 times.

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